Category
Global Macro
8 published briefs in this research track.
Leveraging Trade Wars: How to find opportunity in global instability.
The last time the world saw tariff walls this high, fortunes were made — and most of them weren't made by the people who saw it coming. Right now, the 2025 US-China trade war is creating what economists call "forced restructuring," and it's triggering one of the most predictable wealth-transfer events in modern
Read Full Brief2026 Financial Suicide: Why holding 100% Cash is a losers game.
Your savings account earned 2.0% last year while you lost 2.6% to inflation — congratulations, you just paid €300 for the privilege of going backwards. Across Europe, €3.4 trillion in excess household cash sits rotting in "safe" accounts while the financial system restructures around passive savers at breakneck speed.
10 min readTrump 2.0, Trade Wars, and Your Bitcoin: The 48-hour collapse scenario.
By the time most people check their phones, the damage is already done. That's exactly how the last major crypto collapse unfolded, and with Trump weaponizing trade policy in his second term, the structural conditions for a 48-hour Bitcoin wipeout aren't just possible—they're already present. In March 2020, Bitcoin
10 min readGeopolitical Shockwaves: Is your industry the next target for EU sanctions?
By next quarter, your entire supply chain could be illegal. That's not a scare tactic — it's what happened to 847 European companies in the 72 hours after Russia's February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Overnight, contracts evaporated, logistics routes collapsed, and compliance teams were fielding calls they had no
10 min readWealth Protection 2026: Moving assets beyond the reach of AI-driven inflation.
European women are watching their purchasing power evaporate while traditional investment advice fails spectacularly. Eurozone inflation hit 5.4% in 2023, but the real shock isn't the number—it's the mechanism driving it. AI displacement is creating deflationary collapse in some sectors while green transition costs
10 min readGeopolitical Re-alignment: How the US-China Trade War redefines Tech.
Between 2018 and 2024, US export controls eliminated $328 billion in Chinese semiconductor imports, forcing 47% of global tech firms to split their supply chains into parallel systems. While European professionals worry about AI replacing their jobs, the real disruption is already here: the US-China trade war just
12 min readCryptocurrency as a National Reserve: The transition from Fiat to Digital.
El Salvador's Bitcoin gamble paid off spectacularly — their sovereign debt spread tightened 400 basis points after adoption, defying every central bank prediction. Now 27 nations hold cryptocurrency reserves, and the European Central Bank just published internal memos discussing Bitcoin scenarios. While you've been
9 min readAutomated Warfare & Global Stability: The new defense paradigm.
Military AI systems now make kill decisions in 0.3 seconds while diplomats still debate regulations using frameworks from the 1960s. The U.S. tripled its AI military spending to $8.7 billion in 2024, while China allocated $15.3 billion to autonomous warfare systems. The gap between military AI investment and
12 min read